Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.