Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.