Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 10, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion

Dordrecht
4 - 0
Helmond

Fernando Slory (17'), Ostrc (46' og.), Osundina (65'), Robert Shein (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Dordrecht and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: De Graafschap 4-1 Dordrecht
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 0-1 Excelsior
Sunday, November 3 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.

Result
DordrechtDrawHelmond Sport
50.39% (0.064 0.06)22.37% (-0.041 -0.04)27.24% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.86% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (0.177 0.18)37.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.68% (0.191 0.19)59.32% (-0.19 -0.19)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (0.086999999999989 0.09)15.01% (-0.086 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (0.163 0.16)43.47% (-0.163 -0.16)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (0.076999999999998 0.08)26.04% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (0.103 0.1)61.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Dordrecht 50.39%
    Helmond Sport 27.24%
    Draw 22.37%
DordrechtDrawHelmond Sport
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 50.39%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.24%

Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 21
Dordrecht
2-0
Helmond
't Zand (4'), Kriwak (57')
Hilton (27')
Oct 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 10
Helmond
1-1
Dordrecht
Mallahi (45')
Ostrc (26'), Van den Eynden (75')
Bronkhorst (47')
Suray (2'), Robert Shein (29')
Mar 26, 2023 1.30pm
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
Helmond
2-1
Dordrecht
Van Ooijen (47'), Kaars (52')
Balde (33')
Jan 7, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Helmond
1-2
Dordrecht
Breugelmans (61')
Bosiers (65')
Conteh (59'), Meijer (84')
Miceli (74')