Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.