Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.