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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 4-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
83.4% (![]() | 10.69% (![]() | 5.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.95% (![]() | 25.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.01% (![]() | 44.98% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.69% (![]() | 4.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.14% (![]() | 17.86% (![]() |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.81% (![]() | 46.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.13% (![]() | 81.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Willem II |
3-0 @ 10.31% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.97% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 4.14% Total : 83.4% | 1-1 @ 4.83% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.93% Total : 10.69% | 1-2 @ 1.87% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 5.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 64 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 58 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 |
4 | Feyenoord | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 47 |
5 | FC Twente | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 46 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 44 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 32 |
9 | Groningen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 31 |
10 | Heerenveen | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 31 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 |
12 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
13 | Heracles | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 28 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 26 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
16 | Willem II | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |