Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Jan 26, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
Willem II

St Jago (22' og.), van de Loo (46')
Ihattaren (38'), Castillo (57'), Oukili (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

St Jago (1'), Bosch (37'), Tirpan (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, January 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Willem II

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Willem II 1-1 Feyenoord
Saturday, January 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Willem II
42.86% ( 0.31)	24% ( 0.14)	33.12% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 60.59% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.34% (

-0.81)

41.66% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.94% (

-0.83)

64.06% (

0.82)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0.2)

19.66% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

-0.33)

51.65% (

0.32)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42% (

-0.65)

24.58% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93% (

-0.91)

59.07% (

0.91)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 42.87%

Willem II 33.12%

Draw 24%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 42.87%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24%	1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.12%