Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
3 - 2
Liverpool

Bakayoko (35'), Saibari (45'), Pepi (45+6')
Veerman (45+3'), Karsdorp (45+3')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Gakpo (28' pen.), Elliott (40')
Robertson (45+5'), Morton (63'), Elliott (66')
Nallo (87')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSV 3-2 NAC Breda
Saturday, January 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Liverpool

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Ipswich
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.9%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.71%) and 3-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Liverpool
54.9% ( -0.01)	19.51% ( -0)	25.59% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 72.18% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.55% (

0.02)

24.44% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.81% (

0.02)

44.19% (

-0.02)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.59% (

0.01)

9.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.36% (

0.01)

31.64% (

-0.01)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67% (

0.02)

20.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.29% (

0.03)

52.71% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 54.9%

Liverpool 25.59%

Draw 19.51%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.96% 4-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.45% Total : 54.9%	1-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.51%	1-2 @ 5.74% 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.59%