Champions League
Jan 29, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 2
FT Philips Stadion
  • Johan Bakayoko 35' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 45' goal
  • Joey Veerman 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Rick Karsdorp 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 45'+6' goal
  • goal Cody Gakpo 28'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 40'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Tyler Morton 63'
  • yellowcard Harvey Elliott 66'
  • redcard Amara Nallo 87'

PSV Eindhoven vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 8.00pm
Red Star 2 - 3 PSV

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Lille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.9%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.71%) and 3-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 54.9% (-0.01)
Draw 19.51% (-0.01)
Liverpool 25.59% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

72.18% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 75.55% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 24.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 55.81% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 44.19% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 36.28% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 63.72% (-0.03)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 90.59% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 9.41% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 68.36% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.64% (-0.01)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 79.67% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.33% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.29% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 52.71% (-0.03)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 54.9%
Draw 19.51%
Liverpool 25.59%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96%
4-2 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 54.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.2% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.78% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.51%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 3.6% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.59%

Build-up

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