MX23RW : Saturday, February 8 06:01:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
NAC Breda

PSV
3 - 2
NAC Breda

Til (35', 45+1'), Pepi (90+4')
Perisic (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sauer (26'), Kostorz (90+6')
Kemper (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Red Star 2-3 PSV
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: NAC Breda 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, January 19 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 4-1 NAC Breda

PSV are huge favourites to come out on top, and we cannot envisage any other outcome than a win for them. We fully expect the home side to romp to an emphatic victory at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.22%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 3.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawNAC Breda
88.22% (0.627 0.63) 7.93% (-0.332 -0.33) 3.86% (-0.292 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.39% (-1.037 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.84% (0.157 0.16)20.17% (-0.155 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.67% (0.223 0.22)38.33% (-0.222 -0.22)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.15% (0.104 0.1)2.86% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.99% (0.364 0.36)13.01% (-0.362 -0.36)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.84% (-1.121 -1.12)49.16% (1.122 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.93% (-0.811 -0.81)84.07% (0.813 0.81)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 88.22%
    NAC Breda 3.86%
    Draw 7.93%
PSV EindhovenDrawNAC Breda
3-0 @ 10.52% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 9.35% (0.256 0.26)
2-0 @ 8.88% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 6.65% (0.246 0.25)
4-1 @ 6.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-0 @ 4.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.72% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 3.94% (0.184 0.18)
6-1 @ 2.8% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
7-0 @ 2% (0.112 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
7-1 @ 1.42% (0.036 0.04)
6-2 @ 0.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 88.22%
1-1 @ 3.55% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.24% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 1.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 7.93%
1-2 @ 1.26% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 1% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 3.86%

How you voted: PSV vs NAC Breda

PSV Eindhoven
90.0%
Draw
3.3%
NAC Breda
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 12
NAC Breda
0-3
PSV

Lucassen (5'), Kemper (32')
Pepi (21'), Saibari (33'), Bakayoko (65')
Pepi (34'), Bakayoko (35')
Feb 8, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
PSV
4-0
NAC Breda
Madueke (8'), Gotze (28', 40'), Gakpo (79')
Mwene (31')

Agougil (6')
Mar 9, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 25
PSV
2-0
NAC Breda
De Jong (5'), Malen (71')
Angelino (15'), Malen (85')
Sep 29, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
NAC Breda
0-2
PSV

te Vrede (17'), Nijholt (51'), Rosheuvel (52')
De Jong (47'), Malen (92')
de Jong (51'), Rosario (58'), Lozano (75'), Zoet (91')
Mar 31, 2018 6.45pm
PSV
5-1
NAC Breda
Van Ginkel (37' pen.), Umar (59' og.), De Jong (76'), Mets (81' og.), Pereiro (84')
Bergwijn (41'), Hendrix (57')
Umar (65')
Ambrose (10'), Vloet (14'), Umar (41'), Mari (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax20153243182548
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4AZ AlkmaarAZ21114636211537
5Feyenoord20106443261736
6FC Twente20105541271435
7Go Ahead Eagles209563730732
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II2165102430-623
14Heracles214982437-1321
15Groningen2156101730-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta214891929-1020
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2135132645-1914
18Almere CityAlmere City2024141143-3210


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