Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.