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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | FC Twente |
| 28.96% ( | 23.16% ( | 47.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.36% ( | 39.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38% ( | 61.99% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( | 26.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% ( | 61.26% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( | 16.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.17% ( | 46.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 1-3 @ 5.57% ( 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 2-4 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 4.22% Total : 47.88% |