Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	FC Twente
42.33% ( -0.4)	22.53% ( -0.08)	35.14% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 66.78% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.18% (

0.52)

33.82% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.34% (

0.59)

55.66% (

-0.59)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

0.05)

16.69% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.44% (

0.09)

46.56% (

-0.1)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16% (

0.48)

19.84% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.06% (

0.77)

51.94% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 42.33%

FC Twente 35.14%

Draw 22.53%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.5% Total : 42.33%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.14%