Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.