PSV
KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 5, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
Feyenoord

PSV
2 - 0
Feyenoord

Bakayoko (8'), Til (68')
Schouten (32'), Perisic (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carranza (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker quarter-final between PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-3 PSV
Saturday, February 1 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Feyenoord

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFeyenoord
56.2% (0.896 0.9)20.22% (-0.415 -0.41)23.57% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 66.87% (0.96899999999999 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.79% (1.497 1.5)30.2% (-1.503 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.56% (1.779 1.78)51.43% (-1.784 -1.78)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (0.72099999999999 0.72)10.92% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (1.577 1.58)35.1% (-1.581 -1.58)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (0.479 0.48)24.92% (-0.484 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (0.662 0.66)59.55% (-0.667 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 56.2%
    Feyenoord 23.57%
    Draw 20.22%
PSV EindhovenDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-0 @ 6.03% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.76% (0.153 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.178 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.63% (0.158 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.126 0.13)
4-3 @ 1.22% (0.09 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.074 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 8.37% (-0.342 -0.34)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.72% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.78% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 23.57%

How you voted: PSV vs Feyenoord

PSV Eindhoven
85.3%
Draw
10.5%
Feyenoord
4.2%
95
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
PSV
3-0
Feyenoord
Lang (19'), De Jong (27'), Tillman (63')
Saibari (52')

Nieuwkoop (4'), Maduro (13'), Milambo (35')
> Preview
Aug 4, 2024 5pm
Final
PSV
4-4
Feyenoord
(Aggregate 4-4 | Feyenoord win 4-2 on penalties)
Lang (9'), De Jong (48', 80' pen.), Til (65')
Lang (45+4'), Benitez (53'), Dams (88')
Gimenez (29' pen., 54'), Nieuwkoop (33'), Milambo (72')
Wellenreuther (9'), Gimenez (44'), Zerrouki (45+1'), Paixao (58'), Nieuwkoop (68'), Ueda (81')
Mar 3, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 24
PSV
2-2
Feyenoord
Tillman (4'), Til (71')
Teze (45'), Ramalho (51'), Tillman (55'), Lozano (90+4')
Minteh (22'), Gimenez (61')
Zerrouki (55'), Geertruida (59'), Maduro (83')
> Match Report
Jan 24, 2024 7pm
Round of 16
Feyenoord
1-0
PSV
Maduro (31')
Wieffer (63'), Maduro (87'), Gimenez (90+3')

Bosz (64'), Lang (68'), Til (85'), Schouten (89')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 14
Feyenoord
1-2
PSV
Gimenez (81')
Gimenez (90+3')
Saibari (65'), Boscagli (68')
Boscagli (63'), Babadi (90+2'), Benitez (90+6')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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