Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.2%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.