Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 1, 2025 at 8pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
3 - 3
PSV

Ouaissa (66'), Shiogai (90'), Linssen (90+5')
van Crooij (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Jong (52'), Saibari (73'), Bakayoko (76')
de Jong (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Nijmegen 4-1 Sittard
Sunday, January 19 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 3-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.19%. A win for NEC had a probability of 20.11% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 1-3 (7.18%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
20.11% ( -0)	19.69% ( -0)	60.19% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.56% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.73% (

0.01)

32.26% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.12% (

0.01)

53.87% (

-0.01)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04%

28.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

-0)

64.84% (

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.46% (

10.53% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.76% (

0.01)

34.23% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

NEC 20.11%

PSV Eindhoven 60.19%

Draw 19.69%

NEC	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.12% Total : 20.11%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.69%	1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 7.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.45% 1-4 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.26% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.35% Total : 60.19%