Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Empoli |
| 63.1% ( | 21.8% ( | 15.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( | 50.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( | 15.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.8% ( | 44.19% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.39% ( | 45.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.59% ( | 81.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 2-0 @ 12.29% ( 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 3-0 @ 7.67% ( 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 5-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 3.79% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 2-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.32% Total : 15.1% |