Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 8, 2025 at 7pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 1
Heerenveen

Saibari (40'), Til (57')
Ledezma (54'), Perisic (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Smans (72')
Jahanbakhsh (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 1-7 Arsenal
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 AZ
Sunday, March 2 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.39%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.47% and a draw had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (4.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Heerenveen
64.39% ( -0.24)	17.14% ( 0.12)	18.47% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 70.79% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.85% (

-0.43)

22.15% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.9% (

-0.6)

41.1% (

0.6)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.22% (

-0.16)

6.77% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.99% (

-0.43)

25.01% (

0.43)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

-0.19)

24.06% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65% (

-0.27)

58.35% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 64.39%

Heerenveen 18.47%

Draw 17.14%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 5-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.7% Total : 64.39%	1-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 17.14%	1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 18.47%