Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 11.15am UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 1
AZ

Lukovic (5'), Sebaoui (57'), Linday (90+4')
de Wijs (81'), Noppert (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Buurmeester (76')
Belic (34'), Smit (90+6'), Goes (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 2-2 AZ (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
30.59% ( -0.77)	24.24% ( -0.14)	45.16% ( 0.91)

Both teams to score 58.57% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.19% (

0.27)

43.81% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.8% (

0.27)

66.19% (

-0.27)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-0.36)

27.19% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-0.48)

62.6% (

0.48)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

0.5)

19.56% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.53% (

0.81)

51.47% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 30.59%

AZ Alkmaar 45.16%

Draw 24.24%

Heerenveen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 3% Total : 30.59%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 45.16%