Europa League
Feb 13, 2025 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Sven Mijnans 12' goal
  • Troy Parrott 37' goal
  • David Moller Wolfe 48' yellowcard
  • Jordy Clasie 57' goal
  • David Moller Wolfe 66' goal
  • Jordy Clasie 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaan Ayhan 11'
  • goal Roland Sallai 20'
  • yellowcard Abdulkerim Bardakci 43'
  • redcard Kaan Ayhan 51'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 57'

AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Galatasaray

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 47.05% (-0.86)
Draw 23.36% (+0.23)
Galatasaray 29.58% (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.09% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.77% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 40.22% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 37.4% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 62.59% (+0.71)
Over 4.5 20.09% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 79.9% (+0.55)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 82.62% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 17.37% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 52.21% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 47.78% (+1.03)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5 73.94% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 26.06% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 38.89% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 61.1% (-0.10)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 47.05%
Draw 23.35%
Galatasaray 29.58%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.92% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 47.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.53% (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.35%
Galatasaray
1-2 @ 7.17% (+0.12)
0-1 @ 6.09% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.21% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.58%

Head to Head

Europa League
Nov 28, 2024 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Sven Mijnans 2' goal
  • Ruben van Bommel 6' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 73' yellowcard
  • Kees Smit 88' yellowcard
  • Kees Smit 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Victor Osimhen 43'
  • yellowcard Dries Mertens 84'
  • yellowcard Victor Osimhen 88'
  • yellowcard Davinson Sanchez 89'
  • yellowcard Yunus Akgun 90'+6'