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Europa League

Ferencvaros
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Groupama Arena
AZ Alkmaar

Ferencvaros
4 - 3
AZ

Ali Ben Romdhane (9', 45'), Traore (34'), Varga (82' pen.)
Varga (12'), Makreckis (66')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mijnans (76', 90+5'), Parrott (90')
Belic (7'), Kasius (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ferencvaros and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Ferencvaros
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Sparta
Sunday, January 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawAZ Alkmaar
40.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.87% (0.0040000000000013 0)34.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.87% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)45.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)67.71% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)22.25% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.68% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.58% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56%60.45% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 40.69%
    AZ Alkmaar 34.44%
    Draw 24.87%
FerencvarosDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 34.44%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs AZ

Ferencvaros
45.6%
Draw
15.4%
AZ Alkmaar
38.9%
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