Europa League
Jan 30, 2025 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 3 0
FT Groupama Arena
  • Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane 9' goal
  • Barnabas Varga 12' yellowcard
  • Adama Traore 34' goal
  • Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane 45' goal
  • Cebrail Makreckis 66' yellowcard
  • Barnabas Varga 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 7'
  • yellowcard Denso Kasius 45'+3'
  • goal Sven Mijnans 76'
  • goal Troy Parrott 90'
  • goal Sven Mijnans 90'+5'

Ferencvaros vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2025 8.00pm
Frankfurt 2 - 0 Ferencvaros

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2025 5.45pm
AZ 1 - 0 Roma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result

Ferencvaros 40.69% (-0.03)
Draw 24.87% (+0.01)
AZ Alkmaar 34.44% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.87% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.63% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 45.37% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 32.29% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 67.71% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 16.29% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.72% (+0.02)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5 77.75% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 22.25% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.68% (+0.04)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 74.43% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.58% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.56%
Under 1.5 60.45% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Ferencvaros 40.69%
Draw 24.87%
AZ Alkmaar 34.44%
Ferencvaros
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.55% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.69% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 7.95% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 34.44%