Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Jan 26, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 2
Sparta

Meerdink (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mito (72'), Verschueren (90+5')
Eerdhuijzen (17'), Young (54'), Baas (88'), Neghli (90+1'), Neghli (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Roma
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, January 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
49.46% ( -2.03)	23.8% ( 0.46)	26.74% ( 1.57)

Both teams to score 57.33% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78% (

-0.73)

44.22% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4% (

-0.72)

66.6% (

0.72)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

-1.04)

17.98% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

-1.81)

48.83% (

1.81)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

0.84)

30.11% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

0.99)

66.24% (

-0.99)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 49.46%

Sparta Rotterdam 26.74%

Draw 23.8%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.46%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.74%