Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
1 - 1
Sparta

Hoogma (90+1')
Mirani (15'), Talvitie (30'), Podgoreanu (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mito (52')
Eerdhuijzen (29'), Young (45+1')
Young (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 1-0 Nijmegen
Wednesday, December 18 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sparta 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, December 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
25.61% ( -0.05)	23.33% ( -0.01)	51.06% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.88% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.99% (

-0.02)

43% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.59% (

-0.02)

65.4% (

0.02)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

-0.05)

30.33% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48% (

-0.06)

66.52% (

0.06)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.08% (

0.01)

16.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.02% (

0.02)

46.98% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Heracles 25.61%

Sparta Rotterdam 51.06%

Draw 23.32%

Heracles	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.61%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 51.06%