Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.49%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.