Eredivisie | Gameweek 22

Feb 9, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Clasie (27'), Moller Wolfe (41'), Parrott (56')
Moller Wolfe (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Krastev (40'), Monteiro (45+3'), de Rooij (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 3-1 Quick Boys
Thursday, February 6 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-3 Utrecht
Saturday, February 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.49%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PEC Zwolle
78.07% ( 0.11)	13.98% ( -0.06)	7.95% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.44% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.8% (

0.13)

34.2% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.91% (

0.15)

56.09% (

-0.15)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.95% (

0.05)

7.05% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.25% (

0.14)

25.75% (

-0.14)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.12% (

-0.02)

47.88% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.86% (

-0.01)

83.14% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 78.06%

PEC Zwolle 7.95%

Draw 13.98%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 78.06%	1-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 13.98%	0-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 7.95%