Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Quick Boys had a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Quick Boys win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Quick Boys
67.83% ( -0.33)	17.93% ( 0.19)	14.24% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 56.94% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.08% (

-0.61)

34.92% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.1% (

-0.69)

56.9% (

0.7)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.56% (

-0.24)

9.44% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.29% (

-0.57)

31.71% (

0.58)

Quick Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.88% (

-0.2)

37.12% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.09% (

-0.2)

73.91% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 67.83%

Quick Boys 14.24%

Draw 17.93%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Quick Boys
2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.5% Total : 67.83%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.93%	1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 14.24%