Heracles Almelo
KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Feb 27, 2025 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
AZ Alkmaar

Heracles
2 - 2
AZ

Mirani (17'), Podgoreanu (80')
Kulenovic (30'), Mesik (43'), De Keersmaecker (73'), Engels (108'), Benita (108'), Benita (108'), Engels (115'), de Keijzer (127')
FT
(aet)
Poku (12'), Lahdo (28')
Goes (31'), Penetra (65'), de Wit (69'), Smit (115'), Smit (116'), Penetra (127')
AZ win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between Heracles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Heracles
Sunday, February 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Sittard
Sunday, February 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (5.06%).

Result
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
18.47% (0.112 0.11)21.32% (0.358 0.36)60.2% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Both teams to score 54.56% (-1.016 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.35% (-1.447 -1.45)42.64% (1.443 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.95% (-1.454 -1.45)65.05% (1.452 1.45)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.732 -0.73)36.74% (0.729 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (-0.74 -0.74)73.53% (0.73699999999999 0.74)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.60499999999999 -0.6)13.75% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-1.21 -1.21)41.03% (1.206 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 18.47%
    AZ Alkmaar 60.2%
    Draw 21.32%
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.222 0.22)
2-1 @ 5.02% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 18.47%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.219 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.318 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.414 0.41)
1-2 @ 9.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 9.94% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 6.59% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 6.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 3.27% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-4 @ 3.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-5 @ 1.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.3% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 60.2%

How you voted: Heracles vs AZ

Heracles
16.1%
Draw
16.1%
AZ Alkmaar
67.9%
56
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
AZ
1-0
Heracles
Lahdo (89')

Scheperman (75'), Hornkamp (79'), Bruns (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 28
Heracles
5-0
AZ
De Keersmaecker (19'), Hornkamp (38' pen., 40' pen.), Sankoh (90', 90+4')
De Keersmaecker (15'), Hoogma (34')

Belic (45')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
AZ
1-1
Heracles
Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Laursen (42')
Kiomourtzoglou (67')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
> Preview