Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Jan 24, 2025 at 7pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
1 - 1
Utrecht

Bruns (58')
Zamburek (57'), Hornkamp (63'), Wieckhoff (81'), van Kaam (90+4'), Scheperman (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Elkarouani (90+1')
van der Hoorn (42'), Aaronson (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Almere City 0-2 Heracles
Sunday, January 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Utrecht 0-0 AZ
Saturday, January 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	FC Utrecht
20.3% ( 0.04)	21.1% ( 0.01)	58.6% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 58.6% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.16% (

-0.02)

38.83% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.85% (

-0.02)

61.15% (

0.02)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

0.02)

32.64% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82% (

0.03)

69.18% (

-0.03)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87% (

-0.02)

13% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.47% (

-0.04)

39.53% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Heracles 20.3%

FC Utrecht 58.6%

Draw 21.1%

Heracles	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.3%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.77% 1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 58.6%