De Graafschap
KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg
Heracles Almelo

De Graafschap
0 - 2
Heracles


Schoppema (64'), El Kadiri (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bruns (14'), Podgoreanu (67')
Hornkamp (56'), De Keersmaecker (82'), Wieckhoff (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between De Graafschap and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Volendam 2-1 De Graafschap
Sunday, December 22 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Heracles

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, January 11 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 60.37%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 20.31% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.28%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawHeracles
60.37% (-0.472 -0.47)19.32% (0.223 0.22)20.31% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 65.32% (-0.435 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.84% (-0.729 -0.73)30.16% (0.728 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.61% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)51.39% (0.882 0.88)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.14% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)9.86% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.29% (-0.758 -0.76)32.71% (0.758 0.76)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (-0.22 -0.22)27.53% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (-0.287 -0.29)63.04% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 60.37%
    Heracles 20.31%
    Draw 19.32%
De GraafschapDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.29% (0.169 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.68% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.26% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.17% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 8.11% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.72% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.5% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 20.31%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs Heracles

De Graafschap
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Heracles
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
De Graafschap
5-3
Heracles
Haen (4'), Onal (15'), Neghli (59'), Fortes (84'), Benschop (90+5' pen.)
Rente (8'), Schoofs (30'), Sonnenberg (81')
Oct 7, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
3-2
De Graafschap
Hansson (5'), Armenteros (49'), Bruns (75')
De Jong (18'), Gravenberch (71')
Mar 30, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 27
De Graafschap
1-2
Heracles
Benschop (16')
Straalman (56'), El Jebli (86')
Kuwas (66'), Duarte (70')
van den Buijs (62'), Peterson (89')
Sep 21, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 6
Heracles
4-0
De Graafschap
Vet (27' og.), Peterson (58'), Kuwas (81'), Vermeij (92')
Dalmau (50'), van Hintum (73')

Klaasen (52')
Serrarens (88')
Jan 23, 2016 5.30pm
Heracles
2-1
De Graafschap
Darri (37'), Bruns (74')
Zomer (17'), Fledderus (73')
Driver
Peters (61'), Propper (90')