Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.26%) and 3-1 (6.21%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Volendam in this match.