De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Stadion De Vijverberg
VVV-Venlo

De Graafschap
3 - 1
VVV-Venlo

Warmerdam (2'), Mahi (25'), El Kadiri (90+1')
Besselink (3'), Seuntjens (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mokono (55')
El Anbri (60'), Blancquart (61')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and VVV-Venlo.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last Game: Emmen 3-0 De Graafschap
Monday, November 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

VVV-Venlo

All competitions
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 0-2 Emmen
Friday, November 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 12.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawVVV-Venlo
71.32% (-0.407 -0.41)15.96% (0.197 0.2)12.72% (0.205 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.33% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.29% (-0.482 -0.48)28.71% (0.478 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.38% (-0.595 -0.59)49.62% (0.591 0.59)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.87% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)7.13% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.05% (-0.509 -0.51)25.94% (0.505 0.5)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)35.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)71.78% (0.044000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 71.32%
    VVV-Venlo 12.72%
    Draw 15.96%
De GraafschapDrawVVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.118 0.12)
4-1 @ 5.31% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.07% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.81% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.79% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 71.32%
1-1 @ 6.92% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.5% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 15.96%
1-2 @ 3.63% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.62% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 12.72%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 23
De Graafschap
3-0
VVV-Venlo
Haen (32'), Fortes (55'), Seuntjens (84')

de Boer (89')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
VVV-Venlo
2-0
De Graafschap
Kosidis (33', 81' pen.)
Kluskens (18'), Janssen (51')

Onal (39'), Fortes (80')
Colyn (52')
May 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 37
VVV-Venlo
2-1
De Graafschap
Lathouwers (49'), Huisman (90+3')
Haen (50')
Aug 12, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 2
De Graafschap
1-2
VVV-Venlo
Neghli (18')
Verheijen (41'), Braken (55' pen.)
Jan 9, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
De Graafschap
1-2
VVV-Venlo
Van de Pavert (58')
van de Pavert (52'), Lelieveld (65')
Bastiaans (41'), Venema (73')
Koglin (67')