Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18

Dec 9, 2024 at 7pm UK

Sportpark De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
2 - 0
De Graafschap

Rasmussen (12'), Bounida (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Jong Ajax
Friday, November 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

De Graafschap

All competitions

Last Game: De Graafschap 3-1 VVV-Venlo
Sunday, December 1 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	De Graafschap
36.82% ( -0.01)	23.75% ( 0.06)	39.42% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.36% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.31% (

-0.29)

39.69% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.96% (

-0.3)

62.04% (

0.3)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-0.13)

21.66% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.21% (

-0.2)

54.79% (

0.2)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6% (

-0.15)

20.39% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.18% (

-0.23)

52.81% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 36.82%

De Graafschap 39.42%

Draw 23.75%

Jong Ajax	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.82%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 39.42%