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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 26.23% ( | 24.34% | 49.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% ( | 46.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% ( | 69.2% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.07% ( | 31.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.61% ( | 68.39% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( | 19.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.38% ( | 50.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.23% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0-2 @ 8.36% ( 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.43% |