KNVB Beker
Go Ahead Eagles
Feb 5, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT De Adelaarshorst
Noordwijk
  • Mathis Suray 28' goal
  • Joris Kramer 58' yellowcard
  • Dylan Rietveld 73' goal
  • Giovanni da Fonseca 78' goal
  • Evert Linthorst 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sander Bosma 57'
  • goal Ruben Marbus 79'

Go Ahead Eagles vs Noordwijk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Noordwijk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Noordwijk had a probability of 13.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Noordwijk win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result

Go Ahead Eagles 69.98% ▲ (+0.40)
Draw 16.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Noordwijk 13.99% ▼ (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.19% ▼ (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.25% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 25.74% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 54.11% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 3.5 45.88% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 34.62% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 4.5 65.38% ▲ (+0.42)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5 93.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 75.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 24.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Noordwijk Goals

Over 0.5 68.77% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 0.5 31.22% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 1.5 32.43% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 1.5 67.57% ▲ (+0.74)

Score analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 69.98%
Draw 16.03%
Noordwijk 13.99%
Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.14)
1-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.05)
5-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.05)
6-0 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 69.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 16.03%
Noordwijk
1-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 13.99%

Form Data

Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 2 FC Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 1 Groningen
Go Ahead Eagles 3 - 1 FC Twente
Sittard 0 - 3 Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 1 NAC Breda
Sparta 1 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
Noordwijk 1 - 0 Barendrecht
Noordwijk 2 - 1 Willem II
Telstar 5 - 3 Noordwijk
Volendam 5 - 0 Noordwijk