Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Noordwijk had a probability of 13.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Noordwijk win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Noordwijk
69.98% ( 0.4)	16.03% ( -0.08)	13.99% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 64.19% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.25% (

-0.34)

25.74% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.11% (

-0.43)

45.88% (

0.43)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.33% (

-0.01)

6.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.28% (

-0.02)

24.71% (

0.02)

Noordwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77% (

-0.63)

31.22% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

-0.74)

67.57% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 69.98%

Noordwijk 13.99%

Draw 16.03%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Noordwijk
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.12% Total : 69.98%	1-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.41% Total : 16.03%	1-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 13.99%