Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	FC Utrecht
21.51% ( 0.58)	23.19% ( 0.11)	55.3% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 53.4% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.38% (

0.23)

46.62% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

0.22)

68.89% (

-0.22)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.11% (

0.71)

35.89% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33% (

0.72)

72.67% (

-0.71)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

-0.16)

16.71% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.39% (

-0.29)

46.61% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Heracles 21.51%

FC Utrecht 55.3%

Draw 23.18%

Heracles	Draw	FC Utrecht
1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.51%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 55.3%