MX23RW : Thursday, February 13 12:41:57| >> :600:466960:466960:
Heracles Almelo
KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
FC Utrecht

Heracles
2 - 0
Utrecht

Kulenovic (8'), Rots (34')
Scheperman (27'), Kulenovic (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Viergever (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between Heracles and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Heracles
Friday, January 31 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-3 Utrecht
Saturday, February 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 FC Utrecht

Both teams need no added incentive heading into this one as they battle it out for a semi-final berth, and a thrilling affair is expected here. That said, we just about fancy the away side to edge out their hosts and get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawFC Utrecht
21.51% (0.581 0.58) 23.19% (0.115 0.11) 55.3% (-0.692 -0.69)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.48800000000001 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.38% (0.235 0.23)46.62% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.11% (0.219 0.22)68.89% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (0.709 0.71)35.89% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (0.718 0.72)72.67% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-0.158 -0.16)16.71% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.39% (-0.286 -0.29)46.61% (0.291 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 21.51%
    FC Utrecht 55.3%
    Draw 23.18%
HeraclesDrawFC Utrecht
1-0 @ 6.15% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.129 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.15% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.93% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 21.51%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.6% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.72% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 55.3%

How you voted: Heracles vs Utrecht

Heracles
19.0%
Draw
19.0%
FC Utrecht
62.1%
58
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2025 7pm
Gameweek 20
Heracles
1-1
Utrecht
Bruns (58')
Zamburek (57'), Hornkamp (63'), Wieckhoff (81'), van Kaam (90+4'), Scheperman (90+3')
Elkarouani (90+1')
van der Hoorn (42'), Aaronson (70')
Nov 8, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 12
Utrecht
1-0
Heracles
Aaronson (67')

Mesik (90')
Feb 23, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 23
Utrecht
1-0
Heracles
Jensen (79')
Toornstra (41'), Elkarouani (74'), van der Hoorn (87')

Sonnenberg (89'), Vejinovic (90+1')
Sep 16, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
1-3
Utrecht
Nankishi (62')
Limbombe (25'), Willems (60'), Vejinovic (73')
Romeny (5'), Jensen (45+6'), Bakboord (90+4' og.)
Bozdogan (34'), Fraulo (58'), Barkas (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7pm
rhs 2.0
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