Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.