Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%).