Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Feb 16, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
4 - 0
Heracles

Godts (17'), Brobbey (42'), Valaker Edvardsen (56'), Klaassen (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Union SG 0-2 Ajax
Thursday, February 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 4-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, February 8 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.95%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 7.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.86%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.12%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Heracles
79.95% ( 0.01)	12.99% ( -0.01)	7.06% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.73% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.33% (

0.05)

32.67% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.65% (

0.05)

54.34% (

-0.05)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.64% (

0.01)

6.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.12% (

0.03)

23.87% (

-0.03)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.97% (

0.03)

49.02% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.03% (

0.02)

83.97% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ajax 79.94%

Heracles 7.06%

Draw 12.99%

Ajax	Draw	Heracles
2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.9% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 79.94%	1-1 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 12.99%	0-1 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.18% Other @ 2.66% Total : 7.06%