Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Ajax
30.4% ( 0.1)	24.87% ( 0.04)	44.74% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 56.34% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.31% (

-0.14)

46.69% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.05% (

-0.13)

68.95% (

0.13)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

-0)

28.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.41% (

-0)

64.59% (

-0)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

-0.12)

20.92% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

-0.19)

53.65% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Union SG 30.4%

Ajax 44.74%

Draw 24.86%

Union SG	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.4%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.74%