/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
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22'
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Kevin Mac Allister
79'
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Christian Rasmussen
59'
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Jorthy Mokio
62'
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Jorthy Mokio
71'
Union SG vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Union SG
30.4%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
24.87%
▲
(+0.05)
Ajax
44.74%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
56.34%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.31%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
46.69%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
31.05%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
68.95%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
15.4%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
84.6%
▲
(+0.09)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5
71.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
28.75%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
35.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
64.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
79.08%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
20.92%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
46.35%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
53.65%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
Union SG
30.4%
Draw
24.86%
Ajax
44.74%
Union SG
1-0
@
7.5%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 30.4%
2-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 30.4%
Draw
1-1
@
11.72%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.86%
0-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.86%
Ajax
0-1
@
9.41%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.74%
1-2 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.74%