Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.46%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.