/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
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Ernest Poku
46'
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Zico Buurmeester
52'
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Peer Koopmeiners
63'
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Rodrigo Guth
45'
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Alessio Da Cruz
77'
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Ezequiel Bullaude
90'
AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F50%2Fmaarten-martens.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
69.34%
▲
(+0.98)
Draw
17.98%
▼
(-0.47)
Fortuna Sittard
12.67%
▼
(-0.52)
Both Teams to Score:
52.01%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.97%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 2.5
39.03%
▼
(-0.93)
Over 3.5
38.64%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 3.5
61.35%
▼
(-0.97)
Over 4.5
21.06%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 4.5
78.94%
▼
(-0.76)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
89.82%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 0.5
10.18%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 1.5
66.57%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 1.5
33.43%
▼
(-1.14)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5
57.91%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
42.09%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
21.49%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
78.51%
▲
(+0.17)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
69.34%
Draw
17.98%
Fortuna Sittard
12.67%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0
@
11.18%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.20)
4-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.14)
5-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 69.34%
1-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.20)
4-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.14)
5-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 69.34%
Draw
1-1
@
8.47%
▼
(-0.24)
0-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 17.98%
0-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 17.98%
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
@
3.71%
▼
(-0.19)
1-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 12.67%
1-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 12.67%