Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 0
Sittard

Buurmeester (52')
Poku (46'), Koopmeiners (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guth (45'), Da Cruz (77'), Bullaude (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-2 AZ
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
69.34% ( 0.98)	17.98% ( -0.47)	12.67% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 52.01% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.97% (

0.93)

39.03% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.64% (

0.97)

61.35% (

-0.97)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.82% (

0.5)

10.18% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.57% (

1.13)

33.43% (

-1.13)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.91% (

-0.2)

42.09% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.49% (

-0.16)

78.51% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 69.34%

Fortuna Sittard 12.67%

Draw 17.98%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.57% Total : 69.34%	1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.98%	0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.44% Total : 12.67%