Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 20, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
2 - 2
AZ

(AZ Alkmaar win 6-3 on aggregate)

Osimhen (56'), Sallai (70')
Jelert (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Maikuma (42'), Kasius (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Galatasaray and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 1-2 Galatasaray
Monday, February 17 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
38.74% ( 1.03)	23.68% ( -0.03)	37.57% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 62.69% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.71% (

0.12)

39.28% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.38% (

0.13)

61.62% (

-0.13)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

0.55)

20.54% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95% (

0.87)

53.05% (

-0.87)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

-0.43)

21.1% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07% (

-0.68)

53.93% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 38.74%

AZ Alkmaar 37.57%

Draw 23.68%

Galatasaray	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.95% Total : 38.74%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.57%