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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Leganes logo

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Leganes

Mbappe (32' pen., 76'), Bellingham (47')
Asencio del Rosario (62')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Garcia (33'), Raba (41')
Hernandez (62'), Garcia (65'), Tapia (74'), Rodriguez (89')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe scores twice as Real Madrid come from behind to record a 3-2 victory over Leganes at Bernabeu in La Liga on Saturday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Leganes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spanish champions Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with struggling Leganes.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Leganes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Leganes 2-3 Betis
Sunday, March 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-2 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawLeganes
77.77% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 13.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 8.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.25% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)31.74% (0.032 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.73% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)53.26% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.42% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.52% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (-0.052 -0.05)45.06% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.02% (-0.041 -0.04)80.98% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 77.76%
    Leganes 8.38%
    Draw 13.85%
Real MadridDrawLeganes
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.96% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.07% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 6.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
5-0 @ 3.69% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.67%
6-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 77.76%
1-1 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 13.85%
1-2 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 8.38%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Leganes

Real Madrid
80.2%
Draw
12.8%
Leganes
7.0%
86
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2025 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Leganes
2-3
Real Madrid
Cruz (39' pen., 59')
Gonzalez (67')
Modric (18'), Endrick (25'), Garcia (90+3')
Ramon Naveros (79'), Junior (82'), Modric (87')
Nov 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Leganes
0-3
Real Madrid

de la Fuente (49'), Altimira (69')
Mbappe (43'), Valverde (66'), Bellingham (85')
Jul 19, 2020 8pm
Oct 30, 2019 8.15pm
Apr 15, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37274699396085
2Real Madrid37256676383881
3Atletico MadridAtletico372110664303473
4Athletic Bilbao371913554262870
5Villarreal371910867491867
6Real BetisBetis371611105649759
7Celta Vigo37157155756152
8Osasuna371215104751-451
9Rayo Vallecano371312124145-451
10Mallorca37138163544-947
11Real Sociedad37137173544-946
12Valencia371112144353-1045
13Getafe37119173337-442
14AlavesAlaves371011163747-1041
15Sevilla371011164051-1141
16GironaGirona37118184456-1241
17Espanyol37109183851-1339
18Leganes37813163656-2037
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3788214059-1932
RReal ValladolidValladolid3744292687-6116


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