La Liga Gameweek 29
Real Madrid
Mar 29, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Leganes
  • Kylian Mbappe 32' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 47' goal
  • Raul Asencio del Rosario 62' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 76' goal
  • goal Diego Garcia 33'
  • goal Dani Raba 41'
  • yellowcard Javi Hernandez 62'
  • yellowcard Diego Garcia 65'
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 74'
  • yellowcard Oscar Rodriguez 89'

Real Madrid vs Leganes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 5.30pm
Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Leganes

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 1.00pm
Leganes 2 - 3 Betis
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Dani Raba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-2 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 77.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 13.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Leganes 8.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.32% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 31.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 46.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 53.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 27.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 72.19% ▲ (+0.04)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 93.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 75.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.48% ▲ (+0.02)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5 54.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 45.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 19.02% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 80.98% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 77.76%
Draw 13.85%
Leganes 8.38%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 10.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.67%
6-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 77.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 13.85%
Leganes
1-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 8.38%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Leganes
Feb 5, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Real Madrid
  • Juan Cruz 39' goal
  • Juan Cruz 59' goal
  • Sergio Gonzalez 67' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Modric 18'
  • goal Endrick 25'
  • yellowcard Jacobo Ramon Naveros 79'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 82'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 87'
  • goal Gonzalo Garcia 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Leganes
Nov 24, 2024 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Real Madrid
  • Miguel de la Fuente 49' yellowcard
  • Adria Altimira 69' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 43'
  • goal Federico Valverde 66'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 85'
La Liga Gameweek 38
Leganes
Jul 19, 2020 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Real Madrid
  • Recio 39' yellowcard
  • Aitor Ruibal 43' yellowcard
  • Bryan Gil 45'+1' goal
  • Unai Bustinza 49' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Silva 56' yellowcard
  • Roger Assale 79' goal
  • goal Sergio Ramos 9'
  • goal Marco Asensio 52'
  • yellowcard Mariano 66'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
Oct 30, 2019 8.15pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Leganes
  • Rodrygo 7' goal
  • Toni Kroos 8' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 24' goal
  • Marcelo 63' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 69' goal
  • Luka Jovic 91' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Soriano 24'
  • yellowcard Unai Bustinza 41'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Silva 52'
  • yellowcard Cristian Rivera 62'
  • yellowcard Aitor Ruibal 84'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Leganes
Apr 15, 2019 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganés)
Real Madrid
  • Jonathan Silva 45' goal
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 48'
  • goal Karim Benzema 51'
  • yellowcard Marco Asensio 61'
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 67'
Copa del Rey
Leganes
Jan 16, 2019 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganés)
Real Madrid
  • Martin Braithwaite 30' goal
  • Recio 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 82'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 90'
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 90'

Form Data

Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Atletico 1 - 0 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atletico
Betis 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Leganes 2 - 3 Betis
Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Leganes
Leganes 1 - 0 Getafe
Real Sociedad 3 - 0 Leganes
Leganes 3 - 3 Alaves
Valencia 2 - 0 Leganes

Build-up

Head to head