Champions League
Atletico
Mar 12, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid
  • Conor Gallagher 1' goal
  • Giuliano Simeone 66' yellowcard
  • Clement Lenglet 68' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 114' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 115' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 39'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 59'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 115'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 128'

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atletico

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 39.85% ▲ (+0.86)
Draw 25.38% ▼ (-0.09)
Real Madrid 34.76% ▼ (-0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.15% ▲ (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.38% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 47.62% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 30.17% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 69.82% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 4.5 14.79% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 85.21% ▼ (-0.19)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 76.34% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 23.65% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 1.5 42.25% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 1.5 57.75% ▼ (-0.82)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 73.55% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 0.5 26.45% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 38.37% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 61.62% ▲ (+0.42)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 39.85%
Draw 25.38%
Real Madrid 34.76%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 39.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.18)
1-2 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 34.76%

Head to Head

Champions League
Real Madrid
Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico
  • Rodrygo 4' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 55' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 55' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Alvarez 32'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico
  • Dani Ceballos 25' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 50' goal
  • goal Julian Alvarez 35'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 49'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Atletico
Sep 29, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid
  • Robin Le Normand 63' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 70' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 75' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 90'+6' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 40'
  • goal Eder Militao 64'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
Feb 4, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico
  • Brahim Diaz 20' goal
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 37'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 38'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 85'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 90'+5'
Copa del Rey
Atletico
Jan 18, 2024 8.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid
  • Samuel Lino 39' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 57' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 58' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 68' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 78' yellowcard
  • Koke 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 83' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 100' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 101' yellowcard
  • Axel Witsel 113' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Riquelme 119' goal
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 45'
  • goal Jan Oblak 45'+1' (OG)
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 56'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 68'
  • goal Joselu 82'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 85'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 87'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 89'
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 10, 2024 7.00pm
5
3
HT : 2 2
ET Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico
  • Antonio Rudiger 20' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 29' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 85' goal
  • Joselu 116' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 120'+2' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 120'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Mario Hermoso 6'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 37'
  • goal Antonio Rudiger 78' (OG)

Form Data

Getafe 2 - 1 Atletico
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Barcelona 4 - 4 Atletico
Valencia 0 - 3 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atletico
Betis 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Girona
Real Madrid 3 - 1 Man City

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups