Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.