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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 9, 2025 at 1pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
Atletico Madrid logo

Getafe
2 - 1
Atletico

Arambarri (88', 90+2')
Alderete (40'), Duarte (40'), Alvaro (57'), Rico (74'), Dakonam (74'), Juanmi (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sorloth (75' pen.)
Le Normand (40'), Sorloth (90+8')
Correa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Getafe
Sunday, March 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, March 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
GetafeDrawAtletico Madrid
18.17% (-0.254 -0.25)24.78% (-0.135 -0.14)57.05% (0.386 0.39)
Both teams to score 43.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11% (0.159 0.16)56.89% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (0.126 0.13)77.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.54% (-0.213 -0.21)45.46% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.7% (-0.166 -0.17)81.3% (0.163 0.16)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (0.214 0.21)19.89% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.345 0.34)52.02% (-0.348 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 18.17%
    Atletico Madrid 57.04%
    Draw 24.78%
GetafeDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 4.54% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 18.17%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 14.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.79% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.35% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 5% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.56% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 57.04%

How you voted: Getafe vs Atletico

Getafe
12.8%
Draw
5.8%
Atletico Madrid
81.4%
86
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2025 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Atletico
5-0
Getafe
Simeone (8', 17'), Lino (42'), Correa (78'), Sorloth (86')
Gallagher (70')

Ugonna Uche (8'), Bekhoucha Lemlal (77')
Dec 15, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 17
Atletico
1-0
Getafe
Sorloth (69')
Correa (72'), De Paul (90'), Koke (90+2')

Iglesias (69')
Aug 3, 2024 8pm
Club Friendlies
Getafe
1-3
Atletico
Ugonna Uche (60')
Rico (82')
Fernandez Gonzalez (88')
Correa (38', 55'), Felix (45')
Alderete (82')
May 15, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 36
Getafe
0-3
Atletico

Rico (14'), Alderete (55'), Santiago (88'), Alvarez (90+1')
Griezmann (27', 42', 51')
Witsel (17'), Gimenez (77'), Hermoso (88')
Dec 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
3-3
Getafe
Griezmann (44', 69' pen.), Morata (63')
Savic (15'), Hermoso (90')
Savic (38')
Mayoral (53', 90+3'), Rodriguez (87')
Milla (52'), Suarez (68'), Rodriguez (82')
rhs 2.0


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