Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.79%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 18.17% ( | 24.78% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.11% ( | 56.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( | 77.81% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.54% ( | 45.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.7% ( | 81.3% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( | 19.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.98% ( | 52.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 3-1 @ 1.19% ( 3-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 18.17% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 2-2 @ 3.66% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 14.6% ( 0-2 @ 11.79% ( 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-3 @ 6.35% ( 1-3 @ 5% ( 0-4 @ 2.56% ( 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 57.04% |