La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 22, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
0 - 3
Atletico

Guerra (42')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Alvarez (12', 30'), Correa (86')
Lino (23'), Lenglet (40'), Galan (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, February 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
16.29% ( -0.13)	23.07% ( -0.13)	60.63% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 44.94% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68% (

0.28)

53.32% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13% (

0.23)

74.86% (

-0.23)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.29% (

-0.01)

45.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.5% (

-0.01)

81.49% (

0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

0.19)

17.22% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48% (

0.34)

47.52% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Valencia 16.29%

Atletico Madrid 60.62%

Draw 23.07%

Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 16.29%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.07%	0-1 @ 13.84% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 12.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.14% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.62%