La Liga Gameweek 25
Valencia
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico
  • Javi Guerra 42' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Alvarez 12'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 23'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 30'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 40'
  • yellowcard Javi Galan 64'
  • goal Angel Correa 86'

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 8.00pm
Villarreal 1 - 1 Valencia
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 5.30pm
Atletico 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Valencia 16.29% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 23.07% ▼ (-0.13)
Atletico Madrid 60.63% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.94% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.68% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 2.5 53.32% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 3.5 25.13% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 74.86% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 11.44% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 88.55% ▼ (-0.15)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 54.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 45.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 18.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 81.49% ▲ (+0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 82.77% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 17.22% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 52.48% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 47.52% ▼ (-0.34)

Score analysis

Valencia 16.29%
Draw 23.07%
Atletico Madrid 60.62%
Valencia
1-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23.07%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 13.84% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 12.17% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 60.62%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 5
Atletico
Sep 15, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Valencia
  • Koke 25' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 39' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 54' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Cesar Tarrega 10'
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 32'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Atletico
Jan 28, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Valencia
  • Nahuel Molina 49' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 45'+5' goal
  • Memphis Depay 57' goal
  • Saul Niguez 83' yellowcard
La Liga Gameweek 5
Valencia
Sep 16, 2023 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico
  • Hugo Duro 5' goal
  • Hugo Duro 34' goal
  • Javi Guerra 54' goal
  • Giorgi Mamardashvili 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 23'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 36'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 37'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 74'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 86'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Atletico
Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Valencia
  • Antoine Griezmann 23' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 49' goal
  • Thomas Lemar 67' goal
La Liga Gameweek 3
Valencia
Aug 29, 2022 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico
  • Maranhao 18' yellowcard
  • Gennaro Gattuso 26' yellowcard
  • Thierry Correia 42' yellowcard
  • Eray Comert 76' yellowcard
  • Fran Perez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 14'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 26'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 27'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 55'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 66'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Atletico
Jan 22, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Valencia
  • Koke 27' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 37' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 64' goal
  • Luis Suarez 82' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 84' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 90'+1' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 90'+3' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 14'
  • goal Yunus Musah 25'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 37'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 43'
  • goal Hugo Duro 44'
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 61'
  • yellowcard Toni Lato 65'
  • yellowcard Jaume Domenech 83'

Form Data

Villarreal 1 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 2 - 0 Leganes
Valencia 0 - 5 Barcelona
Valencia 2 - 1 Celta Vigo
Barcelona 7 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Atletico 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 5 - 0 Getafe
Atletico 2 - 0 Mallorca
Salzburg 1 - 4 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 1 Villarreal