La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 15, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
1 - 1
Valencia

Gueye (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sadiq (84')
Lopez (47'), Gaya (48'), Pepelu (87'), Perez (90+4'), Sadiq (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Leganes
Sunday, February 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Valencia
59.78% ( 0.48)	21.76% ( -0.14)	18.46% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35% (

0.06)

44.64% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.99% (

0.06)

67.01% (

-0.06)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

0.18)

14.53% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.43% (

0.34)

42.56% (

-0.33)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.06% (

-0.34)

37.94% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29% (

-0.34)

74.71% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 59.77%

Valencia 18.46%

Draw 21.76%

Villarreal	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 59.77%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.76%	0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.46%