Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 63.09% ( | 21.22% ( | 15.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( | 47.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( | 69.28% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( | 14.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.93% ( | 42.07% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.25% ( | 42.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.92% ( | 79.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 2-0 @ 11.56% ( 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 3-0 @ 7.5% ( 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 5-1 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.22% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.68% |