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La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Celta Vigo logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Celta Vigo

Sorloth (81')
De Paul (65'), Gimenez (67'), Le Normand (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aspas (68' pen.)
Dominguez (31'), Duran Fernandez (47'), Alonso (72'), Losada (80'), Iglesias (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
63.09% (-0.513 -0.51)21.22% (0.262 0.26)15.68% (0.247 0.25)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-0.283 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.672 -0.67)47.03% (0.669 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.63 -0.63)69.28% (0.627 0.63)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.375 -0.38)14.28% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.93% (-0.73 -0.73)42.07% (0.726 0.73)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.25% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)42.75% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.92% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)79.08% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 63.09%
    Celta Vigo 15.68%
    Draw 21.22%
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.5% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 63.09%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.22%
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.68%

How you voted: Atletico vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid
88.8%
Draw
10.0%
Celta Vigo
1.3%
80
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
0-1
Atletico

Starfelt (33'), Rodriguez Galiano (90+2')
Alvarez (90')
Mandava (38'), Gimenez (76')
May 12, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico
1-0
Celta Vigo
De Paul (84')
Witsel (72')

Starfelt (36')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico

Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')
Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Celta Vigo
0-1
Atletico
Depay (89')
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Veiga (71')
rhs 2.0


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