La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 1, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Alvarez (66')
Sorloth (57'), Barrios (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruiz de Galarreta (32'), Gorosabel (62'), Alvarez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 4-4 Atletico
Tuesday, February 25 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 7-1 Valladolid
Sunday, February 23 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it is 0-1 (8.49%).

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
49.23% ( 0.02)	26.44% ( -0.01)	24.33% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.99% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.28% (

0.02)

56.72% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.33% (

0.02)

77.67% (

-0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89% (

0.02)

23.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.04% (

0.03)

56.96% (

-0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.12% (

38.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.39% (

75.61%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 49.22%

Athletic Bilbao 24.33%

Draw 26.44%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 13.16% 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 24.33%