La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 8, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
Girona

Sancet (42' pen., 45+1', 79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gil (63'), Juanpe (71'), Herrera (74'), Krejci (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 2-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 2-1 Las Palmas
Monday, February 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Girona had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Girona
52.87% ( -0.21)	25.28% ( 0.24)	21.85% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.54% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.39% (

-0.91)

54.61% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.06% (

-0.76)

75.95% (

0.76)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

-0.45)

20.67% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75% (

-0.71)

53.25% (

0.71)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.93% (

-0.54)

40.07% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.28% (

-0.5)

76.72% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 52.86%

Girona 21.85%

Draw 25.28%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.4% Total : 52.86%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.85%