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Athletic Bilbao logo
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 1
Plzen

Williams (25'), Alvarez (64'), Marton (90+5')
Berenguer (31'), Djalo (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Havel (71')
Kwabena Adu (21'), Dweh (63')
Vasulin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Athletic Bilbao and Viktoria Plzen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plzen 2-0 Anderlecht
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Viktoria Plzen

Athletic have struggled to produce their best form in the first month of 2025, but they will still take confidence from the fact that they have won all three of their home matches in the league phase, and we think that they will produce another strong performance in front of their own supporters to take maximum points from Thursday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawViktoria Plzen
64.09% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 20.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 15.38% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)44.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.78% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)13.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)39.97% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)41.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.83% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)78.17% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 64.08%
    Viktoria Plzen 15.38%
    Draw 20.54%
Athletic BilbaoDrawViktoria Plzen
2-0 @ 11.28%
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91%
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 64.08%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.54%
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.38%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Plzen

Athletic Bilbao
79.2%
Draw
12.1%
Viktoria Plzen
8.7%
173
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
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8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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