Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.44%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 28.86% ( | 28.9% ( | 42.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.34% ( | 62.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.78% ( | 82.21% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( | 38.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.95% ( | 75.04% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( | 29.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% ( | 65.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.61% Total : 28.87% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0-0 @ 11.23% ( 2-2 @ 3.89% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 13.77% ( 0-2 @ 8.44% ( 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.48% Total : 42.22% |