La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 23, 2025 1.00pm
7
1
HT : 4 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Mikel Jauregizar 10' goal
  • Nico Williams 35' goal
  • Maroan Sannadi Harrouch 43' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 45'+2' goal
  • Nico Williams 66' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 69' goal
  • Daniel Vivian 79' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 84' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 87' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Martin Rielves 44'
  • yellowcard Stanko Juric 46'
  • goal Mamadou Sylla 47'
  • redcard Stanko Juric 56'

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2025 1.00pm
Espanyol 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Oihan Sancet

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2025 3.15pm
Valladolid 0 - 4 Sevilla
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mamadou Sylla

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 70.3% (+0.31)
Draw 18.95% (-0.05)
Real Valladolid 10.75% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.48% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.62% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 48.38% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 29.48% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 70.52% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 14.32% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 85.68% (+0.32)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 87.45% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 12.55% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 61.4% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 38.6% (+0.14)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 48.58% (-0.82)
Under 0.5 51.42% (+0.82)
Over 1.5 14.38% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 85.62% (+0.55)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 70.28%
Draw 18.95%
Real Valladolid 10.75%
Athletic Bilbao
2-0 @ 13.89% (+0.23)
1-0 @ 13.39% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 9.62% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.99% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.07% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 70.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.45% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.95%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.96% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.43% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 10.75%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
  • Anuar 19' yellowcard
  • Paulo Pezzolano 45'+4' yellowcard
  • David Torres 72' yellowcard
  • Mario Martin Rielves 78' yellowcard
  • Raul Moro 79' goal
  • Eray Comert 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Jauregizar 26'
  • yellowcard Benat Prados 43'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 66'
  • yellowcard Javier Marton 90'
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2023 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
  • Cyle Larin 74' goal
  • goal Inigo Martinez 30'
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 57'
  • goal Mikel Vesga 78'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 18' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 51' goal
  • Daniel Vivian 78' goal
La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 28, 2021 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Morcillo 14' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 61' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 76' goal
  • goal Fabian Orellana 70'
  • goal Shon Weissman 85'
  • yellowcard Jawad El Yamiq 90'+1'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fabian Orellana 19' goal
  • Pablo Hervias 38' yellowcard
  • Maranhao 48' goal
  • Ruben Alcaraz 66' yellowcard
  • Jordi Masip 71' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia Carnero 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Unai Simon 17'
  • yellowcard Iker Muniain 66'
  • goal Inaki Williams 86'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2020 1.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT José Zorrilla
  • Sandro Ramirez 76' goal
  • Hatem Ben Arfa 90' yellowcard
  • goal Unai Lopez 4'
  • goal Raul Garcia 24'
  • yellowcard Unai Lopez 49'
  • yellowcard Raul Garcia 80'
  • goal Inaki Williams 87'
  • goal Inigo Cordoba 90'