La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 25

Feb 23, 2025 at 1pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
7 - 1
Valladolid

Jauregizar (10'), Williams (35', 66'), Sannadi Harrouch (43'), Sancet (45+2'), Guruzeta (69'), Williams (87')
Vivian (79'), Ruiz de Galarreta (84')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Sylla (47')
Martin Rielves (44'), Juric (46')
Juric (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 0-4 Sevilla
Sunday, February 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Valladolid
70.3% ( 0.3)	18.95% ( -0.04)	10.75% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 42.48% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.62% (

-0.51)

48.38% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.48% (

-0.47)

70.52% (

0.46)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.45% (

-0.06)

12.55% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.4% (

-0.13)

38.6% (

0.13)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.58% (

-0.81)

51.42% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.38% (

-0.55)

85.62% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 70.28%

Real Valladolid 10.75%

Draw 18.95%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Valladolid
2-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 70.28%	1-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.52% Total : 18.95%	0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.75%