La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 16, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
0 - 4
Sevilla

Nikitscher (51'), Anuar (72'), Amallah (81'), Sylla (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sanchez (5', 67'), Romero (45+1'), Lukebakio (84')
Romero (45+2'), Pedrosa (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Valladolid
Friday, February 7 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, February 9 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Sevilla
27.18% ( -0.1)	26.06% ( -0.15)	46.76% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 50.5% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

0.54)

53.36% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

0.45)

74.9% (

-0.45)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

0.21)

34.59% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

0.22)

71.31% (

-0.22)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

0.34)

22.8% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.49% (

0.51)

56.51% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 27.18%

Sevilla 46.75%

Draw 26.05%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.18%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.75%