La Liga Gameweek 30
Real Madrid
Apr 5, 2025 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia
  • Carlo Ancelotti 22' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 50' goal
  • yellowcard Cesar Tarrega 10'
  • goal Mouctar Diakhaby 15'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 46'
  • goal Hugo Duro 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Max Aarons 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 90'+8'

Real Madrid vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Leganes
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 5.30pm
Valencia 1 - 0 Mallorca
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for Valencia has a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Valencia win it is 1-2 (3.52%).

Result

Real Madrid 71.43% ▲ (+0.85)
Draw 16.54% ▼ (-0.53)
Valencia 12.03% ▼ (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.47% ▲ (+1.00)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.37% ▲ (+1.75)
Under 2.5 33.63% ▼ (-1.75)
Over 3.5 44.55% ▲ (+1.96)
Under 3.5 55.45% ▼ (-1.96)
Over 4.5 25.91% ▲ (+1.66)
Under 4.5 74.09% ▼ (-1.65)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 91.7% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 0.5 8.3% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 1.5 71.05% ▲ (+1.54)
Under 1.5 28.95% ▼ (-1.54)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 60.49% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 0.5 39.51% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 1.5 23.79% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 1.5 76.2% ▼ (-0.62)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 71.43%
Draw 16.54%
Valencia 12.03%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 10.15% ▼ (-0.32)
2-1 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.51)
3-1 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.13)
5-0 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.15)
5-1 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.15)
5-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.11)
6-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-98.12)
6-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-89.40)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 71.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.54%
Valencia
1-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 12.03%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 12
Valencia
Jan 3, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid
  • Hugo Duro 27' goal
  • Sergi Canos 69' yellowcard
  • Stole Dimitrievski 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 78'
  • redcard Vinicius Junior 79'
  • goal Luka Modric 85'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 87'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Valencia
Mar 2, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid
  • Roman Yaremchuk 4' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 27' goal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 30' goal
  • Mouctar Diakhaby 83' yellowcard
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 72'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 76'
  • yellowcard Federico Valverde 80'
  • yellowcard Joselu 90'+10'
  • redcard Jude Bellingham 90'+10'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
Nov 11, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia
  • Dani Carvajal 3' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 42' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 49' goal
  • Rodrygo 50' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pepelu 34'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 56'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Paulista 67'
  • goal Hugo Duro 88'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Valencia
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid
  • Diego Lopez 33' goal
La Liga Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
Feb 2, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Valencia
  • Marco Asensio 52' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 54' goal
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET
Valencia
  • Karim Benzema 39' goal
  • goal Samuel Lino 46'

Form Data

Real Madrid 4 - 4 Real Sociedad
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Leganes
Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Atletico 1 - 0 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Atletico
Valencia 1 - 0 Mallorca
Girona 1 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 2 - 1 Valladolid
Osasuna 3 - 3 Valencia
Valencia 0 - 3 Atletico
Villarreal 1 - 1 Valencia

Build-up

News