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La Liga

Real Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 5, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia logo

Real Madrid
1 - 2
Valencia

Junior (50')
Ancelotti (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diakhaby (15'), Duro (90+5')
Tarrega (10'), Sadiq (46'), Mosquera (90+8'), Aarons (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Valencia score a last-gasp winner through Hugo Duro to record a 2-1 victory over Real Madrid in Saturday's La Liga contest at Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Valencia at Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-4 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, April 1 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Mallorca
Sunday, March 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for Valencia has a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Valencia win it is 1-2 (3.52%).

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
71.43% (0.84700000000001 0.85)16.54% (-0.523 -0.52)12.03% (-0.322 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.99 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.37% (1.744 1.74)33.63% (-1.741 -1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.55% (1.96 1.96)55.45% (-1.958 -1.96)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.7% (0.628 0.63)8.3% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.05% (1.531 1.53)28.95% (-1.53 -1.53)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.671 0.67)39.51% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (0.613 0.61)76.2% (-0.61099999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.43%
    Valencia 12.03%
    Draw 16.54%
Real MadridDrawValencia
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.502 -0.5)
3-1 @ 7.83% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 5.25% (0.15 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.87% (0.224 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.61% (0.148 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.43% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.26% (0.143 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.102 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.091 0.09)
6-1 @ 1.01% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 71.43%
1-1 @ 7.58% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.306 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.54%
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.04% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 12.03%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
83.9%
Draw
8.9%
Valencia
7.1%
112
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 12
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (27')
Canos (69'), Dimitrievski (78')
Modric (85'), Bellingham (90+5')
Ceballos (36'), Vazquez (78'), Modric (87')
Junior (79')
> Match Report
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
Duro (27'), Yaremchuk (30')
Yaremchuk (4'), Diakhaby (83')
Junior (45+5', 76')
Junior (72'), Valverde (80'), Joselu (90+10')
Bellingham (90+10')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
5-1
Valencia
Carvajal (3'), Junior (42', 49'), Rodrygo (50', 84')
Camavinga (62')
Duro (88')
Pepelu (34'), Foulquier (56'), Paulista (67')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Valencia
1-0
Real Madrid
Lopez (33')
Correia (30'), Kluivert (57'), Comert (70'), Mamardashvili (90+4'), Musah (90+4')

Modric (86'), Rodrygo (86')
Junior (90+7')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Asensio (52'), Junior (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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